Hitters
HITTER PREDICTIONS
Five models for projecting individual batter performance for today's games. Click a model to see its full prediction table.
Formula-Based
Log5 Hit Model
Hit probability from batter batting average vs. pitcher opponent batting average using Bill James' Log5 formula.
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ML · Neural Net
ML Hit Model
Multi-layer perceptron hit probability model using exit velocity, launch angle, and contact rate from Statcast.
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HR Prediction
HR Model
Deterministic home run score (0–100) using barrel rate, pull%, fly ball rate, park factors, and pitcher vulnerability.
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ML · XGBoost
ML HR Model
Poisson XGBoost model predicting expected home run rate (λ) trained on Statcast, weather, park, and handedness features.
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Ensemble
Composite Model
Spotlight hitters appearing in 2+ of the four top-25 lists, ranked across Log5 Hit, ML Hit, HR Model, and ML HR.
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