Game Predictions
Games
GAME PREDICTIONS
Five models predicting today's MLB game outcomes. Click a model to see its full prediction table.
Formula-Based
Log5 Model
Win probability from team winning percentages using Bill James' Log5 formula.
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Statistical
Research-Based Model
Pythagorean expectation, run differential, starting pitcher ERA, and home field advantage.
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ML · XGBoost
XGBoost Model
Gradient boosted trees trained on Statcast and MLB API features.
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ML · Random Forest
Random Forest Model
Ensemble decision tree model using batting, pitching, and recent form data.
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Ensemble
Composite Model
Weighted ensemble across all four game prediction models.
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